Impacts of Development
Are New Schools in Our Future?

Enrollment and Capacity of Existing Schools
 

School Enrollment (as of 5/6/09) Rated Capacity*
Adamstown Elementary 415 500
Denver Elementary 498 500
Reamstown Elementary 506 650
Schoeneck Elementary 100 175
Cocalico Middle School 801 1067
Cocalico High School 1158 1525

Total

3478 4417

* Used for Planning Purposes.  Functional capacity may be different.

 

Proposed Residential Subdivisions*
 

Subdivision New Residential Lots
Rose Hill 303
Wabash Landing 197
Heatherwood 181
Fox Brooke** 122 or 500+
Parkview 117
Village at East Cocalico 101
Morganshire 87
Stony Pointe (E & J) 52
Stevens Court 38
Ridge Road 9
Hurst 5
Mitchell 3
Kindt 2
Gingrich 1

Total

1218 or 1596+

* All in East Cocalico Township except for Stevens Court, which is in West Cocalico on the East Cocalico Township border, but will use water from East Cocalico Township.  See Projects Page for further details
** The higher number of lots for Fox Brooke is if they follow through with their proposal to switch to the "Village Overlay" zoning.

    For planning purposes a value of 1.5 students per new household is a good rough estimate (see Planning Commission meeting minutes of April 24, 2006,  page 2).  This value will vary depending on the size of the houses being constructed (i.e., number of bedrooms), and other factors.  Using this value, the 1218 (or 1596) new households may add approximately 1827 (or 2394) new students to the School District.  There may be other new residences currently planned in the three other municipalities in the School District (West Cocalico Township, and Adamstown and Denver Boroughs).

Total Enrollment (2008-2009) 3478
Projected increase from new construction 1827 (or 2394)
Current Enrollment plus projected increase 5305 (or 5872)
Current Rated Capacity of Schools 4417
Projected Enrollment as Percentage of Capacity 120% (or 133%)

    The relationship between rated capacity of the schools, enrollment, and projected population growth is complex.  However, these numbers do provide us with an approximate idea of where we stand.  When all of the subdivisions currently planned are built (and more are likely to be proposed in the near future with the completion of US 222 and the upcoming removal of the water connection ban), we can anticipate the need to construct new schools in the not too distant future.

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